Sedigas - Annual Report 2.010

Gas in the world > Production, demand and international trade > Production and demand

Production and demand

The European demand in 2011 has dropped fundamentally due to mild temperatures. Worldwide, the demand for natural gas will have grown 3.4%.

The first estimates indicate that the European demand has dropped 9%. The European residential-commercial market absorbs close to 40% of the demand for gas. This demand is extremely conditioned by climate conditions.

The demand has grown 2.5% in North America up until September, emphasizing the advance in Canada of 8.4%. In the OECD countries of the Pacific, the growth was 9.1%, with a major advance in South Korea (+12.8%), and in Japan (+9.6%) in this case sustained by the electric generation market, due to the closing of a good amount of nuclear groups.

COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION OF NATURAL GAS AROUND THE WORLD (10⁹ m³) (1)

North America
USA
Canada
Central & South America
Mexico
Venezuela
Argentina
Trinidad & Tobago
Bolivia
Brazil
Europe (2)
Norway
United Kingdom
Netherlands
Germany
Italy
Romania
Eastern Europe and CIS
Russia (3)
Turkmenistan
Uzbekistan
Kazakhstan
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
Africa
Algeria
Egypt
Nigeria
Libya
Middle East
Saudi Arabia
Iran
Abu Dhabi
Qatar
Asia - Pacific
Indonesia
Malaysia
Australia
Pakistan
China
India
TOTAL WORLD

1970

651,8
595,1
56,7
34,5
12,6
9,0
6,0
---
n.d.
n.d.
79,7
0,0
11,1
33,4
13,9
13,1
24,9
219,8
197,9
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
3,4
2,8
0,1
---
0,3
19,5
0,8
12,0
0,7
---
17,0
3,4
1,3
0,9
1,5
0,3
3,8
1.025,7

1980

624,4
549,6
74,8
65,5
28,6
14,8
9,4
---
0,4
0,3
199,1
26,6
37,3
90,3
27,5
12,5
34,3
456,5
434,8
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
n.d.
27,2
18,0
2,9
1,1
5,2
44,1
10,2
8,0
7,2
3,3
74,1
14,3
18,5
1,1
9,5
12,7
8,1
1.490,9

1990

611,7
504,9
106,8
85,0
26,7
21,4
17,8
4,7
2,7
3,4
196,7
27,1
49,6
72,4
23,4
17,3
28,3
807,1
814,6
73,7
34,3
6,0
23,6
8,3
70,9
51,6
8,1
4,0
6,2
99,7
30,5
24,2
15,3
6,3
142,5
14,4
45,4
18,5
18,4
10,6
14,4
2.013,6

2000

726,4
537,6
183,2
134,1
35,8
30,5
37,4
14,1
3,2
7,2
304,2
52,9
108,3
67,8
21,2
15,7
13,6
680,1
547,5
44,1
52,9
11,5
18,0
5,7
128,2
83,2
21,0
12,5
5,9
207,1
49,8
60,2
27,5
23,2
261,5
27,1
66,1
41,5
32,3
20,4
21,5
2.442,2

2005

696,6
510,8
185,8
174,3
39,1
25,2
45,6
31,0
12,4
9,8
316,5
87,0
88,3
73,1
19,0
12,0
12,4
764,8
601,0
59,1
55,6
23,7
19,3
5,7
174,8
89,0
42,5
22,4
11,3
320,0
71,2
103,5
38,2
45,8
364,9
50,0
71,9
56,0
42,1
30,9
35,5
2.811,9

2009

741,9
582,4
159,5
193,1
48,3
23,1
41,4
40,7
12,6
10,3
291,0
103,8
59,1
73,7
14,6
8,0
11,0
714,6
546,8
35,7
62,3
33,5
19,9
16,3
195,7
81,4
62,7
20,1
15,9
416,3
78,5
141,2
39,5
89,3
439,0
82,0
72,4
60,4
52,6
40,7
38,7
2.991,7

2010

763,2
610,6
152,6
202,5
47,7
22,9
40,1
42,4
14,7
12,4
300,8
106,4
56,3
85,9
12,7
8,3
10,5
784,9
610,1
41,6
61,0
34,9
19,0
18,2
208,9
84,6
61,3
29,0
16,8
471,1
87,7
146,2
41,7
116,7
484,3
93,0
82,6
61,5
55,3
52,3
39,6
3.215,9

2011

805,8
650,9
154,9
215,8
57,0
24,4
38,1
40,5
n,d
13,3
276,1
101,2
41,5
80,3
12,0
7,5
n,d
820,9
629,0
59,7
58,6
37,2
n,d
17,8
195,5
82,7
59,8
31,2
4,8
522,2
95,1
154,4
42,1
149,2
489,7
105,5
79,0
59,3
56,8
48,4
38,8
3.326,0

(1) Apart from North America, only includes the main producing states in each area.
(2) EU 25 plus Norway, Switzerland and Turkey.
(3) Includes total figures for the former USSR/CIS until 1995 inclusive. From 2000, only refers to data from the Russian Federation. Source: Cedigaz

The demand in Japan noticeably picked up after the closing of some power plants.

The First Summit of Gas Exporting Countries Forum was held in the middle of November in Doha (Qatar), whose purpose was to widen the cooperation to protect the interests of the member states of the Organization. The most general demand was to eliminate if at all possible the growing difference between the spot market prices and the price of crude oil

The first 2011 Cedigaz estimates on the production of natural gas in the world show an increase of 3.4%.

COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION OF NATURAL GAS. DISTRIBUTION (%) BY LARGE GEOGRAPHICAL AREA.

North America
Centr. & South A.
Western Europe
CIS
Africa
Middle East
Asia - Pacific
TOTAL WORLD
TOT. bcm(10⁹ m³)

1970

62,7
3,3
7,7
22,5
0,3
1,9
1,6
100,0
1.025,7

1980

41,1
4,3
13,1
31,9
1,8
2,9
4,9
100,0
1.490,9

1990

30,4
4,2
9,8
40,1
3,4
5,0
7,1
100,0
2.013,6

2000

29,7
5,5
12,5
27,8
5,3
8,5
10,7
100,0
2.442,2

2009

24,8
6,2
11,3
27,2
6,2
11,4
13,0
100,0
2.991,7

2010

24,8
6,5
9,7
23,9
6,5
13,9
14,7
100,0
3.215,9

2011

23,7
6,3
9,4
24,4
6,5
14,6
15,1
100,0
3.326,0

Source: Cedigaz. Prepared by Sedigas.

WORLDWIDE CONSUMPTION OF NATURAL GAS (10⁹ m³)

North America
USA
Canada
Central & South America
Argentina
Mexico
Brazil
Trinidad &Tobago
Venezuela
Chile
Europe
Germany
United Kingdom
Italy
Netherlands
France
Spain
CIS
Russia
Ukraine
Uzbekistan
Byelorussia
Kazakhstan
Turkmenistan
Africa
Algeria
Egypt
Middle East
Iran
Saudi Arabia
Asia - Pacific
Japan
China
India
South Korea
Indonesia
Malaysia
Thailand
Pakistan
Australia
TOTAL WORLD

2007

738,6
653,3
85,3
185,9
43,9
55,6
19,9
20,2
26,6
4,1
548,7
86,2
91,9
83,5
36,3
46,9
35,2
632,1
431,2
70,9
46,6
20,6
33,8
12,2
94,4
26,5
39,8
302,3
113,0
74,4
455,9
92,7
71,8
41,4
34,6
34,6
30,1
35,4
36,8
23,6
2.957,5

2008

741,4
656,2
85,3
194,2
44,4
59,3
23,7
21,9
25,6
2,6
571,0
88,1
94,9
85,8
43,4
49,2
38,8
650,6
440,2
75,0
48,3
21,1
36,4
10,3
99,1
27,5
42,1
330,3
119,3
80,4
485,2
96,2
80,5
42,9
36,7
33,8
32,0
37,3
38,0
27,3
3.071,9

2009

746,0
657,9
88,1
189,0
43,1
60,7
18,7
21,0
24,9
2,8.
538,6
91,6
88,1
77,2
40,4
47,2
35,2
565,0
382,4
64,9
40,5
17,6
30,8
11,0
95,8
28,8
44,4
354,5
141,4
78,5
502,7
89,6
89,6
53,3
34,9
38,1
31,1
39,2
38,7
28,3
2.991,7

2010

767,3
684,1
83,1
203,9
43,3
62,0
25,2
22,1
26,5
4.5.
570,2
90,8
94,3
83,5
49,6
48,1
35,3
626,9
423,7
80,2
39,6
21,6
31,1
10.8
100,9
28.8
46,2
377.4
144,6
87,7
569,6
97,1
109,4
64,5
45,0
41,6
32,4
8,8
39,6
29,9
3.215,9

Distri.(%)

23,9
21,3
2,6
6,3
1,3
1,9
0,8
0,7
0,8
0.1
17,7
2,8
2,9
2,6
1,5
1,5
1,1
19,5
13,2
2,5
1,2
0,7
1,0
0,3
3,1
0,9
1,4
11,7
4,5
2,7
17,7
3,0
3,4
2,0
1,4
1,3
1,0
0,3
1,2
0,9
100,0

Source: CEDIGAZ. Prepared by Sedigas.

CONSUMPTION OF NATURAL GAS BY SECTOR WITHIN THE OECD AND IN INDIVIDUAL COUNTRIES (%). 2009

	Electricity Generation			Industry	Residential	Other (1)	Total	Total
	El. Plants	Cogener.	Subtotal		Commercial		(%)	(Tj)
USA	23,9	7,2	31,1	21,5	34,3	13,1	100,0	25.171.446
Canada	6,5	3,2	9,7	26,5	32,4	31,3	100,0	3.642.460
France	1,4	12,7	14,1	23,5	47,0	15,5	100,0	1.857.101
Italy	22,4	22,1	44,6	16,3	35,4	3,7	100,0	3.234.044
United Kingdom	30,1	4,2	34,3	12,1	41,1	12,4	100,0	3.926.539
Germany	7,4	13,6	21,0	22,1	45,7	11,2	100,0	3.631.675
Netherlands	8,8	24,2	33,0	15,2	36,8	15,0	100,0	1.617.862
Spain	42,1	9,2	51,4	26,8	12,7	9,1	100,0	1.624.721
Belgium	15,8	12,5	28,3	30,8	33,4	7,5	100,0	696.115
Portugal	47,8	14,4	62,2	24,8	10,0	3,1	100,0	191.078
Czech Republic	0,1	4,3	4,4	33,6	47,6	14,4	100,0	329.762
Greece	68,6	2,1	70,6	12,8	9,5	7,0	100,0	164.332
Ireland	57,3	5,4	62,7	15,0	21,7	0,6	100,0	202.664
Austria	9,7	18,9	28,6	32,8	23,5	15,1	100,0	347.498
Poland	0,0	7,9	7,9	24,4	38,9	28,8	100,0	577.650
Hungary	14,5	17,5	32,0	11,5	44,8	11,7	100,0	491.290
Switzerland	0,0	3,7	3,7	32,8	55,2	8,2	100,0	130.599
Turkey	48,1	6,4	54,5	10,6	31,8	3,1	100,0	1.404.552
Japan	59,2	0,0	59,2	8,5	28,3	3,9	100,0	4.069.897
Australia	28,0	6,6	34,6	28,4	14,4	22,7	100,0	1.249.227
Mexico	48,0	0,0	48,0	17,6	1,9	32,4	100,0	2.283.786
Korea	32,8	11,6	44,4	17,1	35,5	3,1	100,0	1.492.013
OCDE Europe	20,0	13,1	33,0	18,8	36,4	11,8	100,0	21.362.561
OCDE N. America	23,6	6,2	29,8	21,8	31,7	16,6	100,0	31.097.692
OCDE Pacific	47,5	4,0	51,5	14,1	26,8	7,5	100,0	6.970.727
Total OCDE	25,1	8,4	33,5	19,8	32,8	13,8	100,0	59.430.980

(1) Includes own use, consumption for transformation (except at electricity and cogeneration plants) and consumption in the energy sector, transport, agriculture, other non-specific use and leakage during distribution.

Source: Energy Statistics of OECD Countries.2011 Edition. I.E.A. Paris. Prepared by Sedigas.

WORLDWIDE CONSUMPTION OF NATURAL GAS (10⁹ m³)

Change by large geographical area

North America
Central & South America
Europe
CIS
Africa
Middle East
China and India
TOTAL

1970

651,4
33,8
119,5
185,0
1,9
18,5
15,6
1.025,7

1980

628,4
62,7
309,6
355,2
18,6
41,5
75,1
1.490,9

1990

612,2
85,5
376,3
657,9
39,5
95,0
147,2
2.013,6

2000

728,3
134,1
504,1
543,8
62,0
186,0
284,1
2.442,2

2005

705,1
166,8
568,4
601,5
85,5
279,3
405,2
2.811,8

2009

746,0
189,0
538,6
565,0
95,8
354,5
502,7
2.991,7

2010

767,3
203,9
570,2
626,9
100,9
377,4
569,6
3,215,9

2010(%)

23,9
6,3
17,7
19,5
3,1
11,7
17,7
100,0

Source: Cedigaz

The first Report on 2010 estimates published by Cedigaz in late April 2011 indicates that the year 2010 was an exceptional one for the world natural gas industry, which posted a record growth in production and trade to cope with an accelerated expansion of gas markets.
According to estimates CEDIGAZ, supply and consumption of natural gas in the world, increased by 7.3% in 2010, the largest growth in history.

This rate would raise the gas put out on the market to 107 bcm above the data from 2010. The greatest additional contributions would come from the United States (+40 bcm), Qatar (+33 bcm), Russia (+19 bcm), Turkmenistan (+18 bcm) and China (+13 bcm). On the other hand, the biggest cuts in production are expected from the United Kingdom (-15 bcm) and Libya (-12 bcm), in this case because the conflict has interrupted their supply for the greater part of the year.

The main producer of gas in the world in 2011 was the US, with around 650 bcm, according to Cedigaz’s estimates, followed by Russia (629 bcm) which has been clearly been exceeded already. Between the two countries, they contribute 38.5 of the world production to the market. The following spots are occupied by Canada (155 bcm), Qatar (149 bcm), China (105 bcm) and Norway, with a production of 101 bcm. China’s development in production is considerable, as it has multiplied its natural gas produced by 3.9 from the year 2000.
The exportation of unconventional gas in the US grew 45% until July 2011.

Another characteristic of 2011 was the sharp rise in the use of production technology, with a floating LNG plant. Apart from being very useful for exploiting small and medium resources in the ocean, it is linked to new deep water discoveries.

The availability of enough underground storage space for natural gas plays an important role by its potential for covering the varied demands throughout the year, as well as in the rise in strategic security when faced with interruptions in supply.

The data published by Cedigaz in December 2011 shows that worldwide, there are 647 underground gas storage (UGS) spaces operating, 16 more than one year ago. There are 452 in North America, 131 in Europe and 52 in the CIS countries. Their total capacity is 351.4 bcm, 15.8 bcm more than at the end of 2010.

Medgaz

Annual Report 2.010: Sedigas - The Spanish Gas Association